Name of the game: World Cup Qualifiers
Venue: Estadio Nacional de Lima
Time: 2025/06/11 09:30
Teams: Peru VS Ecuador
Win or Loss Prediction: Away Win 43%
Score Prediction: 0-1
Number of Goals Prediction: 1 Goal
Personal Analysis: The overall strength of the Peruvian team is much worse than that of the national team a few years ago. Most of the players currently play in their home country or in the third-level league. There are no players with outstanding strength on the front line. Most of the offense relies on positional warfare and high-pressure defense to find opportunities for counterattacks. The team's own offensive and defensive capabilities are still a certain distance from the strong teams. Judging from the current group points, even if the last three rounds of games are won, at most, there is a chance to qualify for the play-offs, and this possibility is still very low. The players on the team's back line are also older. Carens and Santamaria are both in their thirties. Once South American players are over 30, their performance declines quickly. These players basically can't keep up with the rhythm when defending speed forwards. They are basically passive when encountering strong offensive teams. The current lineup of the Ecuadorian team is not bad at all. Most of the players are the main players in the five major leagues. The team's overall configuration and playing style are relatively reasonable, especially the overall coordination of the team is relatively good. The two wingers can stably deliver quality passes to the front of the goal. Several shooters such as Valencia, Torres, and Paez only need to wait for opportunities. The team's offense and passing and control on the field are very fast, and the playing style is somewhat similar to that of Premier League teams. The back line is relatively good in interception and retreat speed. It is difficult for any offensive team to break through the Ecuadorian back line. In the past group matches, the proportion of zero-blocking opponents was very high.
Peru, Ecuador, and Bolivia are all at high altitudes, so it is difficult for Peru to use the altitude advantage to play some advantages against Ecuador. The current starting players in the Peruvian team are all older, and they can hardly keep up with the rhythm in the face of Ecuador's high-speed offensive cooperation. In particular, Ecuador can only ensure a 100% direct promotion quota if it wins another game, so the possibility of saving strength in this game is not high. The odds of Peru's home draw in this game are a bit high, and there is a clear gap in overall strength between the two teams. Although the current data points to a higher possibility of a draw, Lao Li believes that it is not a big problem to win against Ecuador normally, and the score is expected to be 0-1 or 0-2.