Name of the game: Spanish Super Cup

Venue: King Abdullah Sports City

Time: 2025/01/10 03:00

Teams: Real Madrid VS Mallorca

Winning prediction: Home win 46%

Score prediction: 2-1

Number of goals prediction: 3 goals

Personal analysis: Real Madrid has made some adjustments to its playing style and lineup in recent games, strengthening the backcourt's ability to advance forward on the wing and center. The lineup on the front line has not changed much, and it is basically still based on Vinicius, Mbappe, and Bellingham. Among them, Vinicius's role will be significantly reduced when facing defensive opponents. He needs a certain breakthrough space on the left to play his role. Mbappe's technique has undergone a certain transformation from the perspective of shooting, and his footwork has improved compared to when he was in Paris. Real Madrid's current midfield offensive organization ratio has declined, and the midfield area is more of a negative interception and defense attribute. The two full-backs Mendy and Vazquez have significantly increased their participation in the attack, and the central defender Chuameni has also increased his dribbling ability. The team obviously wants to strengthen the breakthrough and offensive organization capabilities in the middle, and does not want to rely solely on Vinicius' breakthrough to create opportunities in the frontcourt. Mallorca is a defensive counterattack type team, and its left and right sides have different focuses. The left side relies more on interception and pressing in the middle to counterattack, while the right side is a long pass or a quick counterattack after defense. The left side is mainly based on midfielder Dadel as the main offensive core, and the right side is completed by full-back Maffeo to pass and organize the attack. Rodriguez and Larin on the front line are mainly used as the end point. The team's defense has done a good job in confrontation and marking, especially the two central defenders Lailo and Valjant, who have rich game experience and do a good job in protecting the area in front of the goal, which is also the main reason for the team's good ranking in the league this season.

Real Madrid is much stronger than Mallorca in terms of strength, but Real Madrid is currently unable to open up the situation when facing purely defensive teams. Previously, Real Madrid's offense was a bit too dependent on Vinicius. The opponent only needed to send a strong defender to limit Vinicius's breakthrough to a certain extent, and Mbappe's ability to grab shots in the front area of the goal is not his forte, which makes the team's data advantage great but not easy to convert into goals. In this game, Real Madrid's 1.25 goal handicap is reasonable in a neutral field, but considering that Mallorca is also a team of Real Madrid faction, Lao Li believes that Real Madrid is more likely to win this game, and promotes Mallorca +1.25 win option, with a score of 1-0 or 2-1.